Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.229486 0.244324 0.259923 0.277597 0.297124 0.318110 0.342463
2025-02-16 0.190541 0.211582 0.235167 0.263806 0.297976 0.337878 0.388660
2025-02-23 0.167640 0.192097 0.220881 0.257808 0.304762 0.363692 0.445340
2025-03-02 0.150888 0.177061 0.209040 0.251892 0.309302 0.385944 0.500564
2025-03-09 0.138841 0.166094 0.200432 0.248164 0.315074 0.409488 0.561214
2025-03-16 0.129263 0.157118 0.193126 0.244769 0.320086 0.431820 0.623968
2025-03-23 0.123889 0.152968 0.191530 0.248621 0.335382 0.471195 0.723177
2025-03-30 0.116923 0.146062 0.185451 0.245196 0.338956 0.492192 0.795170
2025-04-06 0.109603 0.138134 0.177271 0.237753 0.335097 0.499807 0.843192
2025-04-13 0.103155 0.131002 0.169684 0.230453 0.330474 0.505107 0.887627
2025-04-20 0.099945 0.128192 0.168087 0.232134 0.340783 0.538859 1.004442
2025-04-27 0.097715 0.126611 0.168123 0.236294 0.355706 0.583910 1.165275
2025-05-04 0.094015 0.122795 0.164703 0.234787 0.360807 0.611338 1.296218
2025-05-11 0.090164 0.118596 0.160495 0.231710 0.362839 0.633238 1.424501
2025-05-18 0.086866 0.115055 0.157092 0.229716 0.366703 0.660135 1.584593
2025-05-25 0.083404 0.111101 0.152807 0.225839 0.366419 0.677529 1.724546
2025-06-01 0.080453 0.107778 0.149329 0.223086 0.368031 0.699873 1.899454
2025-06-08 0.077724 0.104670 0.146014 0.220345 0.369304 0.721675 2.090456
2025-06-15 0.076437 0.103705 0.146088 0.223697 0.383739 0.781337 2.511897
2025-06-22 0.074008 0.100858 0.142917 0.220794 0.384237 0.802998 2.769041
2025-06-29 0.071067 0.097102 0.138071 0.214429 0.376365 0.799037 2.879541
2025-07-06 0.068306 0.093545 0.133419 0.208167 0.368169 0.792816 2.976289
2025-07-13 0.067116 0.092430 0.132816 0.209613 0.377838 0.843541 3.531693